Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG

Match analysis: Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG

Overview

Monarcas host Leones Negros UDG in Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on Wednesday, 11 November 2026. Our pick is Over 1.5 Goals, rated 73% confidence. Our own model puts the chance of this pick landing at about 78%.

Monarcas: recent form

Monarcas have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 home games (2.3 points a game). They scored 2.3 and conceded 1 goals a game, kept a clean sheet in 40% of the games and failed to score in 10%. Their games saw over 1.5 goals in 90%, over 2.5 in 50%, both teams scoring in 60%.

Leones Negros UDG: recent form

Leones Negros UDG have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 away games (1.8 points a game). They scored 1.7 and conceded 1.2 goals a game, kept a clean sheet in 10% of the games and failed to score in 10%. Their games saw over 1.5 goals in 100%, over 2.5 in 50%, both teams scoring in 80%.

Head to head

In their last 3 meetings Monarcas won 1, Leones Negros UDG won 2 and 0 were draws. Those games averaged 3 goals, and 1 of 3 had more than 2.5.

What this means for the pick

Over 1.5 goals was reached in 90% of Monarcas's last 10 home games and 100% of Leones Negros UDG's last 10 away games.

That is the main reason we rate Over 1.5 Goals at 73%.

Our record on this market

Over 1.5 Goals picks on Predictvilla have won 4670 of 5791 graded (81%). In Liga de Expansión MX alone it is 18 of 22 (82%).

Things to keep in mind

The form numbers cover each team’s last 10 games, a small sample, and they cannot show line-ups, injuries or motivation on the day. A confidence score shows how strongly the numbers support a pick. It is not a guarantee, so only stake what you can afford to lose. You must be 18 or older.

Prepared from our data on 10 November 2026.