Burton Albion vs Notts County

Match analysis: Burton Albion vs Notts County

Overview

Burton Albion host Notts County in EFL Trophy (England) on Tuesday, 10 November 2026. Our pick is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.53, rated 74% confidence. Our own model puts the chance of this pick landing at about 74%.

Burton Albion: recent form

Burton Albion have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 home games (1.2 points a game). They scored 1.5 and conceded 1.4 goals a game, kept a clean sheet in 10% of the games and failed to score in 0%. Their games saw over 1.5 goals in 90%, over 2.5 in 50%, both teams scoring in 90%.

Notts County: recent form

Notts County have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 away games (1.3 points a game). They scored 1 and conceded 1.3 goals a game, kept a clean sheet in 30% of the games and failed to score in 20%. Their games saw over 1.5 goals in 80%, over 2.5 in 30%, both teams scoring in 50%.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings Burton Albion won 0, Notts County won 2 and 0 were draws. Those games averaged 3 goals, and 2 of 2 had more than 2.5.

What this means for the pick

Under 3.5 goals happened in 60% of Burton Albion's last 10 home games and 80% of Notts County's last 10 away games.

That is the main reason we rate Under 3.5 Goals at 74%.

Our record on this market

Under 3.5 Goals picks on Predictvilla have won 478 of 666 graded (72%).

Things to keep in mind

The form numbers cover each team’s last 10 games, a small sample, and they cannot show line-ups, injuries or motivation on the day. A confidence score shows how strongly the numbers support a pick. It is not a guarantee, so only stake what you can afford to lose. You must be 18 or older.

Prepared from our data on 10 November 2026.